guspenskiy13 976 posts msg #120622 - Ignore guspenskiy13 |
6/10/2014 2:56:20 PM
Well, that's a good point, I also found volatility etf's pretty attractive for a number of reasons.
I was just thinking, whether or not shorting them when they are below ema(100) (instead of using SPY with EMA's) would make any difference....
Although, which time-frame do you use? Daily?
I would even use UVXY (ADR(30) 0.23% higher than TVIX) if I could....I can only use VXX...
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shillllihs 6,086 posts msg #120623 - Ignore shillllihs |
6/10/2014 3:13:22 PM
I use tvix because it only costs me 3% to short, while uvxy is 7%.
I use daily.
You don't need to use SPY at all, i just use it as a reference.
I have problems with how & why so if you're going to ask me specifics i can't answer.
I don't even know how to make anything above a simple filter. I am too lazy.
What i'm good at is extracting from the cream of the crop.
I think Kevin's SPY/VXX is slightly better at certain times while my approach works better at other times. His works like a charm so why he keeps trying other approaches & failing is beyond me.
There was a day that you would have lost 30% in a day though.
Can you plot a filter for me just using SPY/VXX with 100/200 ema similar to Kevin's SPY/VXX.
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guspenskiy13 976 posts msg #120624 - Ignore guspenskiy13 modified |
6/10/2014 3:15:51 PM
daily time-frame?
I will compare the results of 100/200 ema to VXX/SPY as a signal; I think that time-frame of 30 or 60 minutes would be interesting
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shillllihs 6,086 posts msg #120625 - Ignore shillllihs |
6/10/2014 3:49:17 PM
Daily, but you can do more if you want.
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guspenskiy13 976 posts msg #120626 - Ignore guspenskiy13 modified |
6/10/2014 4:19:05 PM
Didn't work with EMA for some reason, but I think that I'm just bad at scripting.
Useless
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VXX/SPY 5 year daily TOS ema(100)&(200)
Useless
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VIX/SPX 5 year daily TOS ema(100)&(200):
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guspenskiy13 976 posts msg #120628 - Ignore guspenskiy13 |
6/10/2014 4:24:30 PM
Interestingly, 1 minute chart with same ema's would give us a sell at 10:25 today, TVIX @3.52.
TVIX ended up closing 5% lower EOD.
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shillllihs 6,086 posts msg #120629 - Ignore shillllihs |
6/10/2014 4:37:25 PM
So shorting TVIX under 100/200 & bailing & waiting when it encroaches is useless?
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guspenskiy13 976 posts msg #120631 - Ignore guspenskiy13 |
6/10/2014 5:03:22 PM
charts for VXX/SPY do not show the data we want.
$VIX and $SPY do. that's what I meant.
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shillllihs 6,086 posts msg #120632 - Ignore shillllihs |
6/10/2014 5:31:50 PM
Ok. I got my kids little league game to go to
& i'll be out of town til the 18th so work on a comparison & keep up the good work.
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guspenskiy13 976 posts msg #120654 - Ignore guspenskiy13 |
6/11/2014 12:43:22 AM
simple yet profitable.
might need to adjust the length of the ratio.
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