guspenskiy13
976 posts
msg #121623
- Ignore guspenskiy13
modified |
9/30/2014 6:40:36 PM
what if you just sit on cash for margin + average down? allocate like 10% of volatility portfolio?
P.S
SPY in tight range; disregarding the gap down making higher lows...tmrw might break to either side..
What do you think of GLD/GDX? Approaching pre-2014 lows.
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shillllihs
6,086 posts
msg #121625
- Ignore shillllihs
modified |
10/1/2014 12:59:04 AM
You can have a cache of margin but how much would you need? 8-1 ratio?
Works out to about 15% a year for alot of risk & very little profit.
Maybe a way to slowly buy into gapped spikes & protect with options?
I have alot of stocks appearing on my penny stock filter that have not go anywhere for 2 years. This filter works like a charm for bio tech etc. but has not for oil & metals so maybe it's a longer cycle that could be ready to pop.
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shillllihs
6,086 posts
msg #121633
- Ignore shillllihs |
10/1/2014 3:54:30 PM
SPY 193.91 VERY VERY CLOSE to my call of 191.80.
Hope it does not get there.
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shillllihs
6,086 posts
msg #121634
- Ignore shillllihs
modified |
10/1/2014 5:58:10 PM
Monday or next Monday will be the continuation of the greatest bull run EVER...
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guspenskiy13
976 posts
msg #121637
- Ignore guspenskiy13 |
10/2/2014 10:12:57 AM
What if you only sell TVIX after big corrections in SPY and after we switched from backwardation back to contango?
The thing w/ volatility is that there are two types of trades you can possibly make:
1) Get long-term positions that profit from the contango daily roll yield in VIX futures
2) Use mean-reversing properties of volatility
While TVIX is not suitable for the first purpose (XIV much safer/better); there is nothing better than TVIX for playing mean-reversion (all you need is good timing).
P.S.
Looking at the chart - we can either get a great run or head lower. Depends on "which history" will repeat itself.
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guspenskiy13
976 posts
msg #121639
- Ignore guspenskiy13
modified |
10/2/2014 11:44:17 AM
SPY 2 standard deviation away from its mean on yearly chart...
we are low...but could we go lower..
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Mactheriverrat
3,172 posts
msg #121641
- Ignore Mactheriverrat |
10/2/2014 10:41:49 PM
SPY way outside Bollinger Bands
Fast Stoch and RSI(2) near lows
Tomorrow should be interesting
SPY Chart.
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shillllihs
6,086 posts
msg #121644
- Ignore shillllihs
modified |
10/4/2014 6:19:32 AM
There is no perfect indicator but if i had to choose one, it would be CCI...
Look at SPY everytime it has dipped below -200 & re-emerged above... Nearly flawless!!
Sell either above 200, 0 or when it submerges back under -200.
Better yet play XIV or short TVIX when SPY pops above -200.
Has returned 100% a year.
I am done searching for the Holy Grail & i hope all will respect & appreciate what i have uncovered...
I am just sharing this so i can be deitized & then i want to remove it, so please copy & save if you choose.
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four
5,087 posts
msg #121646
- Ignore four
modified |
10/4/2014 1:18:42 PM
VALUE for : CCI(14)
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shillllihs
996 posts
msg #121644
- Ignore shillllihs
modified 10/4/2014 6:19:32 AM
There is no perfect indicator but if i had to choose one, it would be CCI...
Look at SPY everytime it has dipped below -200 & re-emerged above... Nearly flawless!!
Sell either above 200, 0 or when it submerges back under -200.
Better yet play XIV or short TVIX when SPY pops above -200.
Has returned 100% a year.
I am done searching for the Holy Grail & i hope all will respect & appreciate what i have uncovered...
I am just sharing this so i can be deitized & then i want to remove it, so please copy & save if you choose.
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shillllihs
6,086 posts
msg #121648
- Ignore shillllihs |
10/4/2014 2:37:11 PM
CCI(14)
I asked you all to not copy on the board. Why have you forsaken me?
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